{"id":92875,"date":"2016-04-18T19:20:33","date_gmt":"2016-04-18T23:20:33","guid":{"rendered":"\/news\/?p=92875"},"modified":"2016-04-18T19:32:53","modified_gmt":"2016-04-18T23:32:53","slug":"guttmachers-defense-of-deleted-pregnancy-data-falls-short","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.liveaction.org\/news\/guttmachers-defense-of-deleted-pregnancy-data-falls-short\/","title":{"rendered":"Guttmacher’s defense of deleted pregnancy data falls short"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Last week, we highlighted<\/a> Willis Krumholz\u2019s Federalist article detailing how the pro-abortion Guttmacher Institute appears to have dropped a 1994 data point from its materials on unintended pregnancy rates to obscure Planned Parenthood\u2019s role in driving them up in the mid-1990s and falsely suggest its promotion of intrauterine devices was key to driving them back down.<\/p>\n

\"Guttmacher<\/p>\n

Guttmacher spokesman Joerg Dreweke replied, claiming the data point was flawed, and removed to more accurately reflect the true rates. Now, Krumholz has answered<\/a> the charge, defending his work and maintaining that Guttmacher still has some explaining to do.<\/p>\n

While conceding the explanation deserved a mention in his original piece, Krumholz first notes an obvious reason why Dreweke\u2019s cries of victimization are overblown:<\/p>\n

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I had no intention to forgo Guttmacher\u2019s side of the story, having given Guttmacher public relations employees nearly two weeks, full of repeated phone calls, to comment prior to the release of the article. They failed to do so.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Indeed. If the matter really was as simple as that, there\u2019s no reason Guttmacher wouldn\u2019t have offered it to one of several media inquiries from the start, thereby preventing unnecessary bad press.<\/p>\n

Why didn\u2019t they? Perhaps because they\u2019re exaggerating the significance of their defense. The data point was allegedly omitted because Center for Disease Control statisticians were concerned about the source survey\u2014the 1995 National Survey of Family Growth\u2014suffering from a programming error that caused \u201ca smaller-than-expected percentage of respondents to receive one of the questions leading to the question that captures whether the pregnancy was unwanted.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"NewDefundAd3\"<\/a><\/p>\n

However, Krumholz goes on to detail how other NSFG surveys contain outliers too, yet \u201cGuttmacher has begun to choose which surveys to use and which to ignore, which just happens to reinforce Planned Parenthood\u2019s policy goals.\u201d He also explains that the CDC\u2019s unwanted births number is the sum of births it classifies as \u201cunintended\u2019 (the category impacted by the faulty data) plus those classified as \u201cmistimed\u201d (which wasn\u2019t affected)\u2014and the numbers still show the decline even when that is taken into account:<\/p>\n

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Between the 1988 and 1995 NSFGs, unwanted births dropped 2 percentage points, from 12.4 percent, to 10.2 percent, respectively. Mistimed births, unaffected by any error, dropped from 26.7 percent in 1988 to 20.5 percent in 1995. In other words, of the almost 9 percent decline in unintended births from 1988 to 1995, from 39.1 percent to 30.6 percent, only a relatively small part of that drop was subject to any survey error.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

At most, then, Guttmacher can claim the decline shouldn\u2019t have been as sharp as the old graph made it look\u2014not that the decline didn\u2019t happen at all. It should \u201cstill show a drop in the unintended rate among poor women in 1994, and a subsequent large increase in 2001.\u201d<\/p>\n

Krumholz maintains that his original thesis still stands:<\/p>\n

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The accurate telling of history is that between the late 1980s and 1994, the unintended pregnancy rate among poor women was going down, or was at worse unchanged. Even if it didn\u2019t go down from 1987 to 1994, it was lower than it is today. This occurred in a time when IUD use was limited, and PPFA received less taxpayer funding. Then, suddenly, there was a big jump from 1994 to 2001, just as PPFA got bigger.<\/p>\n

The media stories should be \u201cunintended pregnancy rates for poor women finally dropping to where they were in the \u201890s, before things got really bad in 2001,\u201d and \u201cmore competition needed among providers of healthcare for poor women,\u201d not \u201cunintended pregnancies are finally dropping because our liberal policies are working.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Krumholz\u2019s full follow-up<\/a> at the Federalist is definitely worth your time\u2014it elaborates on all of the above, shows how Guttmacher\u2019s work props up a false narrative justifying ever-increasing federal tax dollars for Planned Parenthood, and offers some valuable thoughts on how pro-lifers should respond.<\/p>\n

Finally, Dreweke is still complaining<\/a> about the rebuttal on Twitter, and Krumholz is tackling his objections<\/a> point-by-point. Those are worth checking out, but one in particular deserves mention here:<\/p>\n

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Still factual errors in his piece, including that @Gutmacher<\/a> is PP\u2019s \u201cresearch arm.\u201d We\u2019re fully independent https:\/\/t.co\/wOZUCaiQSH<\/a><\/p>\n

— Joerg Dreweke (@JoergDreweke) April 18, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n